Leaderboard

India lacks the necessary instruments to think outside its reactionary policies. Looking at Modi's proclivity to soothe its nationalist base and utter disdain of their neighbor's diplomatic maturity, india is not thinking the way it needs to. Its disappointing that india will let loose of all its baggage onto us. It opens a lot of doors to them to delve into coercive actions to muddy up the water. Here are few factors that might play out in near future: 1) India with its current trajectory (right after Ladakh) will allow US control some part of its narratives. Americans will take them for a ride, just like the way they did with Pakistan. 2) Given the current government's status over last 11 years in power, india would like to exploit the fault lines in Bangladesh's electoral processes. 3) There's always the Hindu minority card india can go back to, any time & when ever it wants. 4) This ad-hoc approach from india is designed to exact more concessions from us in near term. Going forward, india's action towards its neighbors, i.e- Bangladesh, Bhutan and Nepal will be more punitive in nature. In this current juncture, I can't see how india can come out on top against China. But lets be honest, India can't provide the same tariff break as China can. India's market is simply not as matured and developed as China's. Since 2005, india failed to invest fully in manufacturing the way China did. Now the country is trailing behind, its rather a wishful thinking that under the mercy of Protectionist Americans they will get some semblance of strategic manufacturing capability. While in reality, its China who is contributing to manufacturing flights from its own territory to its more favorable trade partners. Modi is making moves it to sooth his own base, he knows the pit fall of continuing in this path for far too long!! In this unprecedented time, Modi needs to make his quick fix to come out as strong man here!! But he would like his base to forget about this incident as soon as possible!! That's his wish