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The Bangladesh Defence Analyst Forum

sibghat_99

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Everything posted by sibghat_99

  1. Was the forum down for some time? I was unable to access it for a few weeks
  2. The claims from this particular article was given quite a detailed refutation on YPF. Here's the copy paste version: This is a misleading report and does not really capture the nuances of the power sector. For starters, IEEFA (the institute that conducted the study this news article refers to) is know to be a proponent of renewable energy and often manipulates their analysis to make conventional power generation look bad. Consider this quote from Simon Nicholas, the author of the study. "A long-term switch from cheap domestic gas towards more expensive imported coal and liquefied natural gas (LNG), combined with the severe, long-term power overcapacity Bangladesh is on course for, is likely to see government subsidies continue to rise”. He conveniently fails to mention that the switch to imported LNG is purely driven by depleting natural gas reserves. The report similarly fails to mention this fact as well. Past reports have also done a shoddy analysis of the sector in order to promote their renewable energy agenda. While promoting renewable energy is definitely appreciated, one should also take into consideration the market realities and cost implications. Conventional power will thus remain part of the energy mix, whether one likes it or not. Now coming back to the point of 'unused capacity'. It is true that total installed capacity is higher than available demand at present. However, this is not the full picture. Most of the BPDB owned power plants, run by gas, are not modernized. Their average efficiency is around 30%. So even though their installed capacity is high on paper, they are able to churn out far less. BPDB has thus undertaken several projects, known as repowering projects, to equip these plants with modern engines to improve their efficiency and capacity. Fuel shortages are also another reason why many plants are not utilized to full capacity. The low efficiency of the power plants is why the sector uses the term 'available generation capacity', as opposed to total capacity. Available installed capacity remains below actual demand. So it would make sense to invest in adding to the generation capacity either through repowering projects or through new power plants.
  3. Current state of construction: The project was in hiatus for a while but construction has gained pace recently
  4. The Lebukhali Payra bridge is going to be the second cable stayed bridge in Bangladesh with a length of nearly 1.5km CGI of the design:
  5. I heard Chittagong is getting an elevated expressway. Has construction started yet or is it just in planning stages?
  6. What are the chances of the DNC rigging it against Sanders again like they did back in 2016?
  7. What exactly has happened recently that makes you think that the AF left the airspace undefended? I thought it was a well established fact that not dealing helicopter incursions with force was a government decision and the establishment of the ADIZ was a direct response to that. The statement does not hold any merit given that the yaks didn't even cost 400 million dollars and was a logical decision at the time of purchase as it was pretty clear back then on what was BAF planning to acquire. No one predicted CAATSA back then. Yaks are marketed from the start with the ability to be used in training for western pilots after just minor software updates and therefore can be used in conjunction with BAE Hawks in any potential EFT purchase. Hence the number of Hawks ordered will be small. Yak-130s operate under the old a-5 squadron as well which suggests that they were always intended to be used in a dual role here /
  8. Possibility of a defence agreement was already brushed off before the trip as the draft agreement is on its infancy
  9. The BD shipbreaking industry gives off the vibe that it is some sort of necessary evil since it is the main source of steel for the country. But I feel like this should not be an excuse for the lack of concern by the policymakers over the safety of the workers there.
  10. Sri Lanka has an older average fleet age and are on the course to retire most of their older a320s and a330s within the next few years. Their a350 order got cancelled because of issues within the government and Biman offers a much better hard product in their widebodies
  11. I think Biman has reached its initial target of beating subcontinental flag carriers like PIA, AI and Sri Lankan which wasn't much of a competition to begin with given the shitshow those 3 are in right now. Biman should get more ambitious and try to go against the big guys now. It won't match them in terms of fleet size but trying to give at least 50%+ service of a middle eastern carrier will be a big win in my opinion
  12. New rapid exit taxiways and apron are also part of the project. A second runway might not be necessary as the issue with current airport is a lack of parking space and not cuz of the lack of a second runway. Mumbai airport has only one active runway at any given time despite being over twice the size of Dhaka's T-3
  13. The lpd itself will not be an issue. The lack of self defense equipment as well as the lack of mountings for future weapon upgrades suggest that they ordered this with dealing with internal conflicts in mind. The ship itself was ordered from a civilian yard
  14. Ya rohingyas(both refugees and ones living in Myanmar) combined do not even make the majority of the muslims living in Myanmar
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