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The Bangladesh Defence Analyst Forum

tahmid

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Posts posted by tahmid

  1. 28 minutes ago, Nihonjin Karatumo said:

    Taking over vast chunk of land can be considered as a cake walk.

    Sure, a nationalistic leader who failed miserably in both economic and foreign policy areas. National jingoism does not benefit all, and that example is india.

    I've seen india's defense forces over last 5 years. Their capability is showing rusts. 

    I wonder how naive can you be not to see through india's current predicament.

    I am going of topic here, Yes, you are right, their capability should have been better. But they are still considered a super power though there are serious deficiencies. They do have a voice in lot of things that goes around the world.

  2. 11 hours ago, Nihonjin Karatumo said:

    Forget about india, they're gonna drag this mythical ''17 Billion fighter jets program'' for another 10 years with no tangible outcome.

    What they trying to negotiate is a seamless ToT arrangement. Getting 114 new fighter gets in next 10 years adjusted of inflations and cost over-run will bog down an already stressed IAF.

    Right after Galwan crisis, india might have to do with emergency air-frames from Russia. Goes to show high unavailability rate of IAF and over reliance on outside suppliers has made all of indian armed force a paper tiger.

    Only thing they've sharpened over the year is their incessant media falsehood and obnoxious narratives. 

     

    I will not call them a paper tiger. Otherwise China would have a cake walk in Galwan. India might rely on foreign suppliers but they can hold their own. Most importantly they have nationalistic leaders working for indian interest. For any country that is very imoportant. Indian defense forces will move forward because of their leaders. It might be slow and probably  waste a lot of money but it is their money. So in a way they have the money as well.

  3. 45 minutes ago, Girls' Generation said:

    On 11th of June the Finance Minister will produce budget for the next financial year. Due to current covid-19 pandemic government has many other priorities and social security schemes. What u think where there will be any sledgehammer on the defense budget (official and undisclosed ) and ur expectations? 

    My argument is as many renowned international financial institutions saying our economy will jump in next year, neighbours will do anything to stop our growth. So, as we don't have monetary crisis, we can't stop to build our deterrence. It is 'safeguard'.

    https://www.google.com/url?q=https://tbsnews.net/economy/imf-too-projects-2pc-gdp-growth-bangladesh-69421&sa=U&ved=2ahUKEwi6r86f-LLpAhWKeX0KHTL-BYMQFjAGegQIAxAB&usg=AOvVaw3t2_9wDZz2sru_4eQ5roEn

    We have crisis in every sector. This Corona Virus gave us a clear picture where we actually stand no matter what GOB says. Defense budget will probably not get any cut nor will it increase. Our dependence on remittance has taken a huge hit and we will feel the pinch soon.

    To tell the truth we might have come out from the branding as a "bottomless basket" but now we can be termed as a nation of empty dreams. empty promises but with a loud mouth to back it up. Sorry for going off topic.

  4. 23 hours ago, Darth Nihilus said:

    Sad to say we will never reach any agreements with India as much as our govt. tries. We will not be able to stop border killings, no agreement for Teesta will be reached and India forever will try to bully us as much as possible.

    Well this will continue for the foreseeable future. I do not think our leadership is strong enough to change the situation. Kothai sudhu amra boro.

  5. 7 hours ago, Kamikaze said:

    Chinese missiles for Myanmar, Bangladesh worried

    Myanmar is all set to receive the first batch of Chinese-made SY-400 short-range ballistic missiles very soon.

    This follows several years of intense negotiations.

    Ofiicials say Myanmar will also get some kinds of technology transfer for SY-400 along with some loan to cover as the result of prolonged discussions.

    SY-400 short-range ballistic missiles were displayed at Air Show China in November 2018.

    The SY-400 also called DF-12A system in standard configuration has eight containers (canisters) with solid-fuel missiles.

    Missiles are factory-fitted into these containers and can be stored for years without requiring additional maintenance. Missiles are launched vertically and have a range of about 400 km. SY-400 can use different types of warheads.

    SY-400 missile is equipped with GPS/INS guidance system. It is steered to the intended target in the initial flight phase by four control surfaces and stabilizing fins. The missile uses a low lowering rate to extend the range. Multiple missiles can be aimed at different targets.

    The missile launcher units are mounted at the rear of on Wanshan 8×8 high-mobility military truck chassis. The truck is powered by a Deutz Diesel engine developing 517 hp. It can run at a maximum road speed of 75 km/h with a maximum cruising range of 650 km.

    In December 2017, it was announced that Qatar Armed Forces has acquired SY-400 short-range ballistic missile system from China. The missile system was showcased the same year during the rehearsal of the Qatar National Day parade.

    Bangladesh, with which Myanmar shares a border and with whom its relations are frayed over tge Rohingya refugee issue, is concerned.

    “Myanmar will surely not use these against its own insurgents or against India. This could only be procured with us in mind,” said a senior Bangladesh diplomat here but on condition of anonymity.

    UN investigators urged the international community end of last year to server ties with top Myanmar companies which finance the military in carrying out atrocities against Rohingya Muslims in the country’s western Rakhine state.

    A UN fact-finding mission has released a report detailing the degree to which Myanmar’s military has used its own businesses, foreign companies and arms deals to support a brutal crackdown which has forced more than 750,000 Rohingya to flee to bordering Bangladesh.

    The report said military-owned conglomerates; Myanmar Economic Holdings Limited (MEHL) and Myanmar Economic Corporation (MEC) account for a huge share of the country’s economy.

    “The revenue that these military businesses generate strengthens the Tatmadaw’s autonomy from elected civilian oversight and provides financial support for the Tatmadaw’s operations with their wide array of international human rights and humanitarian law violations,” said mission expert Christopher Sidoti, using the official name of the Myanmar Armed Forces.

    Nearly 60 foreign companies have dealings with at least 120 businesses controlled by two military-owned firms, it said

    “These foreign companies risk contributing to, or being linked to, violations of international human rights and humanitarian law. At a minimum, they are contributing to supporting the military’s financial capacity,” it said.

    Mission chair Marzuki Darusman said removing military from the country’s economy will foster the continued liberalization and growth of Myanmar’s economy.

    “In addition to isolating the Tatmadaw financially, we have to promote economic ties with non-Tatmadaw companies and businesses in Myanmar,” said Darusman.

    It said 45 companies and organizations in Myanmar donated over $10 million to the military in the weeks following the beginning of the 2017 clearance operations in Rakhine State.

    “Officials of these companies should be investigated with a view to criminal prosecution for making substantial and direct contributions to the commission of crimes under international law, including crimes against humanity,” Sidoti said.

    The report also mentioned two top private firms, KBZ groups and Max Myanmar helped finance the construction of a barrier fence along the Myanmar-Bangladesh border.

    The fact-finding mission team on Rohingya also called for a full international embargo on arms sales against Myanmar, revealing that a number of companies from seven countries have been supplying weapons to Myanmar’s military amid the humanitarian crisis faced by the minority group.

    There are 14 companies from China, North Korea, India, Israel, the Philippines, Russia and Ukraine that have been supplying fighter jets, armored fighting vehicles, warships, missiles and missile launchers to Myanmar since 2016, said the report.

    “These countries should have known that selling arms to Myanmar would have a direct adverse impact on the human rights of people in Myanmar,” it added.

    The UN emphasized that arms transfer is contrary to the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights (ICCPR) to which North Korea, Israel, Russia and Ukraine are all state parties, while China is a signatory.

    It stressed that the named states have failed to effectively implement human rights effectively.

    “Therefore, further investigation is required in connection with the nature of weapons or related items that Myanmar may obtain from two businesses based in Singapore, which are not parties or signatories to the ICCPR,” the report said.

    “That is why we have called for an embargo that will send a clear message: Dealing with the Tatmadaw from today on will have international legal consequences,” Darusman said during a news conference in Jakarta.

    The Rohingya, described by the UN as the world’s most persecuted people, have faced heightened fears of attack since dozens were killed in communal violence in 2012.

    According to Amnesty International, more than 750,000 Rohingya refugees, mostly women and children, have fled Myanmar and crossed into Bangladesh after Myanmar forces launched a crackdown on the minority Muslim community in August 2017, pushing the number of persecuted people in Bangladesh above 1.2 million.

    Why would TASS report it? They usually report Russian hardware sale. And how many reports Janes makes about BD or Myanmar? Just because they didn't report doesn't really mean countries aren't buying it. Anyway if they really buy it they should be revealing it at next parade. Sooner or later we will find out about the truth.

    They might not show it in their parade to keep us in the dark. Either way we are falling behind and this Corona virus is further aggravating the situation.

  6. 5 hours ago, avicenna said:

     

    Its one thing to sign a contract.  And another to have actual delivery of the platform.  And then another to achieve IOC.  And then to finally have full operational capability.

    It takes TIME!  Forget about 2022.  You're looking at much later.  Especially if any Western origin new build fighters are the goal.

     

     

    Not long before, we used to hear Myanmar Air force uses mecenary pilots, blah, blah etc. Now they are ahead. We are just turning out to be just big mouths. I do not think we will have any advantage in the near future in terms of air warfare. And once the air superiority fails, navy and land forces will be sitting ducks. There is no solution for us to come out of this hole we find ourselves in currently.

  7. 1 hour ago, avicenna said:

    Right now MyAF outguns BAF no question.

    Those SD-10 would present a problem.

    It seems as if BAF is gonna rely on the Mig-29s for a bit longer and probably indicates any MRCA won't be DELIVERED for quite some time.

    BD is at a significant disadvantage because of this.

    If BAF can not get a full squadron of MRCA by 2022 and moves ahead in procuring additional potent aircrafts in numbers we will be in a serious disadvantage. I guess catching up with our neighbours will be so hard in the next decade.

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